Thursday Night Prediction: BUF @ MIA
Vegas has it as MIA -4 and O/U 41.5
We have ourselves a big AFC East showdown on TNF. This is a de-facto elimination game in my opinion. Both teams are 5-4, if you’re 6-4 in the AFC you have a chance, if you’re 5-5 things are looking very bad.
MIA is 6-3 ATS this season, but just 2-2 ATS at home. 3 out of their 4 home games have gone OVER. They have also won 3 of their last 4 and 4 of their last 6 games ATS. This is their second lowest O/U of the season, but they are up against the 7th best defense in points per game.
BUF is just 4-5 ATS this season, but they’re 3-1 ATS on the road. The Bills have won just 1 of their last 4 and 2 of their last 7 games ATS. 7 of the Bills 9 games have gone UNDER, and 3 of 4 on the road went UNDER. The 41.5 O/U is about their average on the season.
This game is really tough. Both teams are beat up and coming into this game off a loss. This game will come down to TO’s. I believe the Dolphins will have just enough to win this game at home. Am I confident they will win by more than 4? No, but the O/U is just too hard here. It could be 27-20 or 13-10.
Kyle’s Money Makin’ Pick: MIA -4
I really do not like anyone particularly in this game from a fantasy standpoint.
Mike Wallace and Sammy Watkins are WR 3’s this week.
FJAX and Lamar Miller are both major ?’s going into this game. If they DON’T PLAY their back-ups are not worth using, if they DO PLAY they are FLEX options because of these 2 teams’ defenses.
Both QBs are top 20 QBs, but not worth using in standard leagues. Both defenses are very viable in this game.