Terrance Williams @PHI: The Cowboys took a big blow last Sunday night when Dez broke a bone in his foot and is expected to be out 4-8 weeks. That being said, it will give Williams his first real chance as the go-to wide out for Tony Romo. Williams is coming of an 8 target, 5 reception game for 60 yards on Sunday against the Giants. The solid part about that looking forward is the 8 targets. It’s never been about Williams speed or play making ability, its always been about his opportunities opposite of Dez. Now he has his opportunity, and it really couldn’t start against a better team. Philly was dead last in fantasy points allowed to opposing WRs in 2014, allowing over 26 points per game, and in Week 1 they were even worse allowing 35 points to the Falcons WR’s. Philly’s style of play benefits opposing passing offenses, and I think Romo picks apart this secondary. Prediction: 17 Fantasy Points
Brandin Cooks vs TB: Okay, okay before you say obviously he is a stud I am going to start him, this is mainly for DFS reasons. If you look at Draft Kings (excluding the Thursday games), Cooks is the 14th highest costing WR, which is an absolute bargain in my opinion! The Buccs and their Cover 2 defensive scheme has been picked part since Lovie Smith got there. In 2014, the Buccs where the 3rd worst against opposing WRs allowing 25 fantasy points a game. Even worse, they allowed over 32 points a game to WRs in 3 dome games last season. Brees is notoriously better at home, and against the Buccs at home in his career as a Saint, Brees has 20 TDs to just 6 INTs. Cooks in his one game against the Buccs last season had 9 receptions for 56 yards along with 15 rush yards. That’s 15 DK points without scoring a TD, and I think he finds the end zone this week. Prediction: 17 Fantasy Points, 20+ DK Points
Sam Bradford vs DAL: I was high on Bradford in Week 1 and he was a bit of a let down. That being said, he was one Chip Kelly challenge away from being a top 12 QB last week, and that was with him being absolutely awful for a half. The solid part about Week 1 was that he threw the ball 52 times, and that seemed like it was the game plan from the start. Cowboys secondary isn’t anything to write home about, and you know the Eagles will be firing early and often as they can’t afford to drop two back in the division this early including a would-be loss at home to a division foe. This offense is very fantasy friendly, and I think Bradford is a top 10 option with top 5 potential. Prediction: 19 Fantasy Points
Others I like: Jason Witten @PHI, Justin Forsett @ OAK, Steve Smith @OAK, Eli Manning vs ATL
Davante Adams vs SEA: A very popular DFS play last week, disappointed many in Week 1. I do think there are better days ahead for Adams this season, but just not this week. If you watched last weeks Packers game, you would have realized James Jones lined up on the left side almost all game, including each of his receptions coming from the left side of the formation. This was the case in Jones’ first stint in Green Bay too. That means Adams lined up on the wide right side most of the time, which means in Week 2 he will line up across from Richard Sherman for much of this game. Last year in Week 1 the Packers completely avoided Sherman, and in the playoffs, despite Sherman being hurt, the Packers rarely tested the All-Pro CB. I do believe Adams will be a big part of this Packer offense in 2015, but it will have to wait another week. Prediction: 4 Fantasy Points
Peyton Manning @KC: Please see Thursday Night Football Fantasy Preview below. Prediction: 13 Fantasy Points
Alfred Morris vs STL: Alfred Morris had a really solid Week 1, and kind of put to rest any idea of Matt Jones taking significant carries away from his workload in the immediate future. That being said, I do not like the matchup in Week 2. The Rams allowed just 14 points per game to opposing RBs in 2014, and in Week 1 they held the Seahawks to just 93 yards on the ground on 24 carries. Not only is this defense tough to run on, but they pressure the passer as good as any team in the NFL. They had 6 sacks in Week 1, and pressured Wilson all day. Morris, whom already is pretty absent in the passing game, will be used to block if he is in on any pass play. If you are starting him, you are hoping for a goal line TD. Prediction: 6 Fantasy Points
Amari Cooper vs BAL: You would think going against the Ravens secondary at home would be good for any WR seeing they were one of the worst in 2014 in allowing fantasy points to opposing WRs, but I am staying far away from the rookie this week. It does seem Carr will play in Week 2, but he is still very raw and this could be a day where he will do some major learning. The Ravens pressured the Broncos on 50, count it 50% of their plays last Sunday. The Ravens need this win, and I think this defense gets plenty of pressure on the Raiders in Week 2. Cooper could be in line for some garbage time points, but I don’t like betting on that. Prediction: 6 Fantasy Points
Others I don’t like: C.J. Anderson @KC, Julian Edelman @BUF, Jordan Reed vs STL
THURSDAY NIGHT FANTASY PREVIEW
This one is pretty interesting from a fantasy perspective. First let’s talk about injuries: Demaryius, CJ Anderson, and Kelce are all listed on the injury report but all signs point to them playing. These 3 guys are all starting for you respective fantasy teams if you own any of them, but I’m not particularly bull-ish on either of the Broncos’ players for daily leagues. A) It’s a short week and they are dinged up a bit, and B) The Chiefs were inside the Top 10 in both fewest fantasy points allowed to running backs and wide receivers in 2014.
Next, everyone is wondering about Peyton Manning. Depending on your back-up (big if), I think there is reason to bench him this week. The Chiefs were the tied for 3rd best defense in fantasy points allowed to opposing QBs in 2014; only allowing 13 points per game. At home they were even better, only allowing more than 13 fantasy points twice the entire season. Peyton in Week 13 @KC, only scored 13 fantasy points. Not only are the Chiefs good at pass defense, Peyton has looked awful in his last 7 starts dating back, coincidently, to Week 13 of 2014. I mean, I am not sure just how many people took a backup that had Peyton but benching him would not be crazy this week. QBs such as his brother Eli vs ATL, Tannehill @JAC, or Bradford vs DAL, I could easily see them doing as well or better than Peyton. I wouldn’t be shocked if Peyton had a 20+ game just because it’s Peyton Manning, but I am worried about his fantasy value and think the struggles continue tonight.
Lastly, guys like Maclin, Sanders, Chiefs and Broncos defenses are all decent starters. I think they all have limited upside due to their opponent, but you likely don’t have better options. Do I need to tell you to start Jamaal Charles….
The current line sits at Chiefs -3, O/U 41.5. I am not making an official pick, but I would lean the under. Cheers to TNF and good luck in your match ups and wagers!